HomeBusinessMarket Outlook: Time for some consolidation; Nifty may weaken below 9,980

Market Outlook: Time for some consolidation; Nifty may weaken below 9,980

Mumbai: The markets took a breather on Thursday following a sharp six-day rally wherein the key benchmark indices, the Sensex and the Nifty, had surged over 10 per cent each. The stage now seems set for some consolidation or possible correction.

The six-day rally came to halt today on account of profit-taking in financial shares. The BSE benchmark index, the Sensex, touched a high of 34,310 in early morning deals, but soon slipped into the negative zone and traded in red for a major part of the day. The Sensex finally ended with a modest loss of 129 points at 33,981.

Among the Sensex 30 stocks, Tech Mahindra was the major gainer, up over 5 per cent. Sun Pharma, Bharti Airtel, PowerGrid, HCL Technologies, Reliance Industries and TCS were the other major gainers, up 2-4 per cent each. On the other hand, Asian Paints was the major loser, down almost 5%. Bajaj Finance, HDFC, Kotak Mahindra Bank, IndusInd Bank, Axis Bank, Larsen & Toubro, ICICI Bank and HDFC Bank were the other prominent losers, down 2-4 per cent each.

Also Read: Market Outlook: Nifty reclaims 10K, charts indicate a likely pause

The Sensex after giving a clear buy signal on the  monthly Fibonacci chart, may now consolidate for some time before resuming its upward journey. As explained yesterday, the bias for the remainder of the month is likely to remain bullish with strong support expected around the 33,050-32,850 range. On the upside, the BSE index may target 35,800 and 37,200-odd levels in the near future.

As per the daily Fibonacci charts, on Friday, in case of an up move the BSE Sensex is likely face resistance around 34,210-34,280-34,350, and in case of a down move, the BSE index may seek support around 33,750-33,680-33,610.

The NSE Nifty ended with a minor loss of 0.3 per cent at 10,029, but  more importantly the index has ended below the higher end of the Bollinger Band on the daily charts for the first time in the last four trading sessions. Going forward, the 10,070-odd level would be crucial for the markets, this level needs to be sustained for the current momentum to continue.

On the flip side, persistent trade below 9,980-odd level would mean that the bears may have the upper-hand and the NSE index may decline towards 9,825-9,725 odd levels. In case the upward journey resumes, the Nifty may attempt to target it’s 100-DMA (Daily Moving Average) which is around 10,330-odd level.

Among the other key momentum oscillators, the Slow Stochastic and the 14-day RSI (Relative Strength Index) are showing signs of a likely consolidation. The MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) and the DI (Directional Index) continue to favour the bulls.

Disclaimer: The article is for information purpose only and does not advocate any buy or sell /recommendation.

Rex Cano
Rex Cano
Having worked as a journalist mostly in the financial domain for over 20 years, he has gained and applied knowledge of markets in his tenure with established and reputed organisations - IIFL, Sharekhan, Business Standard, HDFC Sec to name a few. He further explored his editorial skills and expertise while working with Free Press Journal and SBI Mutual Fund. He continues to draw inspiration from his passion for numbers with the aim to simplify the market know-how to those who love it.

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