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As the covid cases surge in India people want to know when the peak will come and cases will decline. In an interview with India Today TV Prof M Vidyasagar, the government’s mathematical modelling expert on Covid-19 case predictions said that by the end of this week cases will fall.
“If you take the nation as a whole, our prediction is that we may see a decline coming by the end of this week, which is by about May 7. Cases should start declining, but different states will peak at different times. The nationwide and cumulative total is at the peak now or is very, very close to it,” he said in an interview with India Today TV.
If the predictions hold true, it would be a huge relief for the country to cross the national peak of the second wave by this weekend.
“We take the seven-day rolling average because the daily numbers keep fluctuating. As a result, we should not just look at the raw numbers but also at a daily moving average. That number will begin to decline by the end of the present week,” Prof Vidyasagar said.
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