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A State Bank of India report has suggested that India’s third covid wave could be the same as the second wave but there will be fewer fatalities.
The report stated that the average duration of the third wave of the COVID-19 pandemic in the worst-hit countries is 98 days as against 108 days during the second wave. “Average duration of third wave for top countries is 98 days and that of second wave is 108 days, with third wave peak as a multiple of second at 1.8 and second wave as a multiple of first at 5.2 (for India it was at 4.2),” the report stated.
“It is also observed that in third wave, if we are better prepared, the decline in serious case rate will lead to less number of deaths. We find out that if serious cases decline from 20% to 5% (due to better health infrastructure and rigorous vaccination) in third wave, then the number of deaths in third wave could significantly reduce to 40,000 as compared to current deaths of more that 1.7 lakh,” the report added.
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