Population growth rate to see steady decline by 2035 due to declining fertility rates, states working age population and sixty plus population set to rise by 2026, says Maha Eco Survey report

By
Prashant Hamine
-
43
482

X: @prashanthamine

Mumbai: The population growth rate of Maharashtra which was 11% in 2011-2015 is set to decline to 7.7% in 2021-2015, will further decline to 6.3% in 2026-2030 and in 2031-2035 will even further decline to 4.9%. The fertility rate of Maharashtra for population under the age of 15 years is set to decline from 26.7% in 2011 to 19.6% by 2026. The heartening feature is that the working age population in the age group of 15 to 59 years is expected to grow by 8.70 crore by 2026.

However, the working age population between the age group of 15 to 59 years is expected to rise from 63.3% in 2011 to 67.3% by 2026. Likewise, the 60 plus age population which was 10% in 2011 is expected to rise by 13.1% in 2026, says the Maharashtra Economic Survey report that was tabled in both the houses of the state legislature on Friday.

As per the first national Census of 1961, the state’s population which was 39,554 lakh, has risen to 11.24 crore as per 2011 census. The ratio of urban population which was 28.2% as per the 1961 census, has touched 45.2% as per 2011 census.

Comparatively the sex ratio of females per 1000 males which was 936 in 1961, has seen a marginal decline to 929 by 2023-24, as per the 2011 census projections.

The density of population which was 129 persons per square kilometer in 1961, has risen now 365 persons per square kilometer in 2023-24, making Maharashtra second largest densely populated state in India, after Uttar Pradesh.

The projected population growth which was pegged at 12.44 crore as of March 1, 2021, is now pegged at 12.83 crore as of March 1, 2025. Out of which 6.73 crore will be male population and 6.20 crore female population.

The Crude Birth Rate (CBR) which was 15.2% in 2011-15, fell to 13.9% in 2016-2020, is expected to decline to 12.4% in 2021-2025, to 11.4% in 2026-2030 and further decline to 10.4% by 2031-35.

The Crude Death Rate (CDR) which was 6.6% in 2011-15, rose to 7% in 2016-2020, is expected to rise to 7.2% in 2021-2025, to 7.6% in 2026-2030 and further rise to 8% by 2031-35.

The Infant Mortality Rate (IMR) which was 25% in 2011-15, declined to 23% in 2016-2020, is expected to further decline to 21% in 2021-2025, to 19% in 2026-2030 and further decline to 18% by 2031-35.

The Fertility Rate (IMR) which was 1.77% in 2011-15, declined to 1.67% in 2016-2020, is expected to further decline to 1.56% in 2021-2025, to decline to 1.52% in 2026-2030 and further decline to 1.51% by 2031-35.

The Life Expectancy in Males which was 70.3% in 2011-15, steadily rose to 71.1% in 2016-2020, is expected to marginally rise to 71.9% in 2021-2025, to rise to 72.7% in 2026-2030 and further rise to 73.2% by 2031-35.

The Life Expectancy in Females which was 73.9% in 2011-15, steadily rose to 74.9% in 2016-2020, is expected to marginally rise to 75.9% in 2021-2025, to rise to 76.7% in 2026-2030 and further rise to 77.5% by 2031-35.

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