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In a recent survey conducted by Times Now in collaboration with Matrize NC, significant insights have emerged regarding the potential outcome of the impending Lok Sabha Elections, scheduled for April and May 2024. The survey predicts a resounding victory for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA), positioning Prime Minister Narendra Modi for a third consecutive term in office.
According to the survey findings, the NDA is poised to secure a formidable 366 seats out of the total 543 in the Lok Sabha, indicating a substantial lead over its political rivals. Projections suggest that the NDA will commandeer approximately 41.8 per cent of the votes, underscoring its dominance in the electoral landscape.
In contrast, the newly formed INDIA bloc is anticipated to secure 104 seats, garnering an estimated 28.6 per cent of the votes. Meanwhile, other political entities are predicted to clinch 73 seats, constituting approximately 29.6 per cent of the total votes.
Regional Analysis:
The survey offers intriguing insights into regional dynamics, particularly in key battleground states. Uttar Pradesh, boasting 80 Lok Sabha seats, is expected to favor the BJP, with projections indicating a remarkable victory with 77 seats – a testament to the enduring influence of the Modi persona in the state.
However, the NDA’s performance in Bihar is predicted to be less impressive compared to previous polls, with projections suggesting a win of 35 seats out of 40, representing a loss of four seats.
In West Bengal, Trinamool Congress (TMC) supremo and Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee is poised for a significant triumph, securing 26 out of 42 seats. This victory reinforces Banerjee’s solo electoral strategy in the state.
The survey paints a mixed picture in South India, with varying outcomes across states. While the BJP is expected to underperform in Karnataka, losing four seats compared to 2019, Tamil Nadu presents a different scenario, with the BJP projected to secure its maiden seat. The DMK-Congress alliance is anticipated to dominate Tamil Nadu, while in Telangana, the BJP is poised to secure five seats, challenging the ruling Congress.
However, the survey predicts a bleak outlook for the BJP in Andhra Pradesh and Kerala, with Chief Minister YS Jagan Mohan Reddy’s YSR Congress and the INDIA bloc dominating the electoral landscape, respectively.
As the nation braces for the Lok Sabha Elections, these survey findings provide valuable insights into the evolving political landscape, setting the stage for a keenly contested electoral battle.
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