BJP’s Victory Forecast: Surjit Bhalla’s Seat Prediction for 2024 Lok Sabha Election

According to Surjit Bhalla, the Congress may secure 44 seats, or 2 per cent less than what it won in the 2014 elections.

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In an interview with NDTV, renowned economist and political analyst, Surjit Bhalla, suggested that the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) might surpass its 2019 polls performance in the ongoing 2024 Lok Sabha election. Bhalla, known for his new book ‘How We Vote’ detailing the voter’s mindset, said Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s party could end up winning between 330 to 350 seats in the ongoing general elections.

The 2019 Lok Sabha elections saw the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) winning 353 seats, with 303 going to the BJP. The Congress managed to secure only 52 seats.

“Based on statistical possibility, they should get 330 to 350 seats on their own. This is just the BJP, not including its alliance partners,” NDTV quoted Surjit Bhalla as saying. He added that the BJP would likely see a five to seven per cent rise in seats won compared to the 2019 Lok Sabha elections.

“It can be a wave election. Every election has a potential (to be a wave). But it may not also be a wave election,” said the top economist.

Opposition’s Seat Prediction

According to Surjit Bhalla, the Congress may secure 44 seats, or 2 per cent less than what it won in the 2014 elections.

“The problem with the (Opposition) alliance is the leadership. The economy matters the most, the leadership matters second. And both of them are in favour of the BJP. If the Opposition had selected a leader who could have a mass appeal or approximating half the appeal that Prime Minister Modi has, then I think it could be a contest,” Surjit Bhalla told the news channel.

BJP’s South Boost

Surjit Bhalla also predicted the BJP may win at least five seats in Tamil Nadu, where the BJP has been traditionally a weak party. “I won’t be surprised if, of all the places, the BJP in Tamil Nadu gain over five seats. In Kerala, maybe one or two,” he said.

Prime Minister Modi’s Perspective

Surjit Bhalla’s interview comes even as Prime Minister Narendra Modi expressed confidence that the BJP’s vote share in the south would increase in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections compared to previous polls.

In an interview with the ANI , Modi said, “You see Telangana, where our vote share has doubled. In the 2019 parliamentary elections, the BJP emerged as the single largest party in the South. The BJP has the highest number of MPs. I believe that in 2024 (the Lok Sabha elections), the vote share is going to increase compared to the previous elections. Seats will also increase.”

Also Read: Amit Shah’s Wealth Doubles in Last 5 Years: Nomination Affidavit for Lok Sabha Elections 2024 Reveals

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